Judging that way each and every one of our actions (including me writing this comment) is a bet, because AFAIK we still live in a world where we do not have "complete information". From time to time I think about one of Mark Twain's short novels which I read as an adolescent, where a lady decides to take the left road instead of the one on the right (or vice-versa) when she reaches a road-junction, and because of that single decision her life changes dramatically.
Indeed! And how about that classic Robert Frost poem, "The Road Not Taken" [1]
Edit: WOW, after reading the commentary on the poem, I never realized how wrong I was. The poem is a joke, he's saying it didn't really matter which path he took. All these years I took it so seriously, which apparently is a common mistake dating back to the very first time the poem was read in front of an audience.
After reading the "poem guide" there I have to agree, WOW. My mind is blown. Despite destroying what it meant to me for 30 years, the older me appreciates the poem even more for its subtlety.
