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Desktop Operating System Market Share (netmarketshare.com)
136 points by AJAlabs on Jan 8, 2017 | hide | past | favorite | 131 comments


I thought it was weird that "other" had such a high percentage 4.98% - but then I clicked on the more broadly grouped chart (https://www.netmarketshare.com/operating-system-market-share...) and it dropped to 0% - "other" meant other versions than those listed.


This is a much better chart than the one linked. The other chart, due to the way it breaks down versions, is a little misleading because of how it splits up market share of older OS versions (mostly with OSX, where only two versions are accounted for in the graph itself).


It really seemed like Linux and Mac were much higher up these days. A more interesting statistic would be "OS usage times" i.e. what are people looking at for the most hours. Probably nigh possible to get. Wait, advertisers probably know.


I think what you are after is "silicon valley / developpers usage time".


I think the perception of Linux and Mac being used a ton is only in some developer circles. Unless the do a bunch of programming outside of work petty much all the developers I know use Windows at home.


Linux has about half of the market share of all OS X versions combined. Not too bad considering there's not exactly many systems that come with Linux preinstalled. Still minuscule compared to the Windows market share but I'd gladly announce that the year of the Linux desktop has finally arrived if it gets to OS X level...which isn't all that far to go.


I wonder if they are counting Chromebooks which run a modified Linux. Those are starting to catch Mac https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/may/23/chromeboo...


I'd put them into their own category.

But remember that Chromebooks are a US only story. There are very few of them outside the USA. One good year in the USA doesn't gain many percentage points in a worldwide stat.


Why? Just because Google made a Linux distro makes it no longer qualify as a Linux distro?


It's not a prior Linux distribution until you add crouton. Same as why Android isn't a Linux distribution.


well the user space is nothing like any other distro.


Google Chrome OS is based on Gentoo Linux.


I love my chromebooks (I have two), plus I bought one for my mother for whom it is absolutely perfect - a laptop (i.e. with keyboard) that is fast, light and trouble-free.


They are widely available in Europe. Do you mean they don't sell well outside of the USA ?


My dictionary definition of widely is a bit different than yours.

Once in a while, in a blue moon, I see one single device at Saturn megastores in Germany. Usually it stays at the store with increasing "product of the week" discounts until someone finally takes it away.

In Portugal, Italy and Greece I am yet to bump into a store selling them.


In the UK most computer stores have a few.


Some big shops like FNAC in France have stopped selling chromebooks in its stores.


Huh? They're sold and somewhat popular here in Australia


I think the actual Linux market share is higher. I know a lot of enterprises that have switched to Linux (for reason completely unrelated to the os itself).


> I think the actual Linux market share is higher. I know a lot of enterprises that have switched to Linux (for reason completely unrelated to the os itself).

So they switched to Linux because well, not because it's Linux. Funny :-) You probably meant : they switched to Linux for none of the reasons HN's readers like Linux (open, free, people-like-us, etc)


which should be reflected in these numbers, no?


Look at their sampling methods. They use analytics from certain sites (news, social media, gov, ...)

A lot of enterprises are beyond proxies and many places don't allow you to access internet outside a few select sites


A proxy won't mingle with the User-Agent header, or with the tracking JS that runs in the browser.


I guess there are different types of proxies. The ones we use definitely strip and modify headers.


Nitpick: More like a third (0.36).


You are correct, I only scanned the other OS X versions from the bottom and kind of missed the 1.1% of 10.10.


I've used Linux and FreeBSD (desktop|laptop @work/home) for everything since 2002. Within the last five years it really has been a very simple and feature rich environment with acceptable stability for most distributions.

Think if I hadn't started with KDE at that time I would be much more fond of OS X.


Something must be very wrong with their methodology. I don't believe the total installed base is so volatile that the Mac share jumps from 7% to 9.57% then down to 6% within a single year.

https://www.netmarketshare.com/report.aspx?qprid=9&qpaf=&qpc...


> Something must be very wrong with their methodology. I don't believe the total installed base is so volatile that the Mac share jumps from 7% to 9.57% then down to 6% within a single year.

Agreed. And it's by no means the first such example.

However, the numbers are based on unique visitors to a range of websites. The variation might reflect a wide variation in web accesses from different operating systems (though I doubt it), but it doesn't directly measure the installed base.


https://www.netmarketshare.com/report.aspx?qprid=9&qpaf=&qpc...

It's not that hard to believe. Their iPad + keyboard is cannibalizing their desktop.

I'd love to see iOS + Mac versus Windows + Mobile Windows


They weight users from different countries by CIA's total numbers of internet users in these countries. (https://www.netmarketshare.com/faq.aspx#Country ) So some country having a big share of internet users according to CIA and small and volatile number of users counted by Netmarketshare can be the reason. China has about 22% of internet users according to CIA. Is there a way to estimate how many are counted by Netmarketshare?


I'm actually very curious to find out how that will turn out in the long run because another source of the same kind definitively show quite a different trend for MacOS (and IMHO more continuous & realistic) : http://gs.statcounter.com/#os-ww-monthly-201512-201612


I have a feeling this is skewed by massive enterprise purchasing of workstations - they will naturally gravitate towards a stable windows version, and tend not to get upgraded very often.

I'd like to see a chart of desktop computer market share that people purchase for themselves.


Depending on the industry, a lot of your tools might not just be Windows only but also tied to an old (and possibly unsupported in the case of XP) version. This is endemic to any industry involving capital equipment like machining centers or biotech lab equipment that have serviceable lifetimes measured in the decades. A decade ago this wasn't really a problem because this equipment was isolated but now with industrial IoT and modern IT networks they're becoming more and more vulnerable.

One mom and pop machine shop I ordered from got tired of using USB drives to haul CAD files and machining instructions between systems so they started using Google Apps with Drive as the sharing mechanism. In order to do that, they had to hook up several 10 year old Windows XP machines to the internet and within weeks they got hit by the blaster worm or some other pre-SP1 virus. That cost them weeks of machine time on their older CNCs and hundreds of man hours doing incident reports for their bigger clients like the defense contractors. The situation in the clinical biotech companies I worked at was never that bad because of HIPPA compliance and more focus on networked services like lab databases but still atrocious. So much of our industrial infrastructure is built on a house of cards.


> The situation in the clinical biotech companies I worked at was never that bad because of HIPPA compliance and more focus on networked services like lab databases but still atrocious.

I can attest that academic biotech labs are still pretty atrocious, for the reasons you mention.

Windows XP (or super old OS X installs, pre 10.5) are pretty common on non-networked machines that function as appliances. It's not uncommon to hear about a machine controlling a $X00,000 device being compromised by malware that road in on a USB drive, despite the air gapping.

Sometimes I feel that it would be better for vendors to use a super minimal Linux distribution for each of these workstations that basically function as an appliance. Not only could the vendor reduce the attack surface for any potential malware exposure, but the one-off nature of the distro and small overall number of workstations would provide a minimal incentive for malware authors to target.


Now try to get those hardware manufactures to provide anything else other than OCX or DLLs as device APIs.


Check out ubuntu Core, one if its main use cases is exactly this.


I believe the data is global so the numbers are probably skewed by China and other sources as well. FWIW, I sell a few add-ins for Excel, targeted at B2B users. I get roughly 60k uniques/month, and my Windows visitor stats are:

    7     - 61%
    10    - 28%
    8     -  8%
    XP    -  1%
    Vista - <1%


"Skewed" is a weird word to use there.


I wonder how many macs that would remove. Most people that use a mac that I know got their mac from work. That they use it for personal stuff doesn't mean it's not a business laptop.


On the contrary, most people I know outside of my immediate work surroundings (which is skewed by working around a lot of startups) bought their own Macbook (or had their parents buy it, as it were). They were very popular among the arts and commerce crowd at university.

Macbooks seem to have cornered the 18-25 female demographic for computers.


Maybe in the US. I've seen personal macs mostly on rich kids (ie. Parents paid for it) or graphic designers.


I'm based in New Zealand, not the US.

I see macs more among developers, but that's because I don't tend to hang around privileged rich kids that much these days, since I work for a living.

When I was at university though, the vast majority of computer science students were running either Linux or Windows. I think on the balance of it, it was mostly Windows, but the Linux users seemed to get better grades and had a better idea of what they were doing.

Macbooks were the computer of choice for the Arts and Commerce faculty students (most of whom, incidentally, did not have jobs).


Even so, that "massive enterprise purchasing" would be dwarfed by the number of computers bought for personal use.


... citation required? With windows terminals on every office desk, every point of sale station, every library computer room, etc. I don't think it is inconceivable that "enterprise" purchasing outnumbers personal purchases.


So does the original claim. That which can be asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.


It's interesting to see that there are more Windows XP users than there are Mac OS X users running all versions combined.


Even all Mac OS X and Linux combined is less than Windows XP. Think about that.


That's because there are still a lot of XP users in SE Asia, and particularly in China.

Netmarketshare doesn't divulge country numbers unless you are a paying customer.

Netmarketshare also "balances" its numbers, so the results could vary a lot according to how much weight it gives to China.


Interesting side note: ive only swen Windows 7 discs so far on markets in SEA. Even cambodia seems win7 dominated. But they also sell cheap laptops with mint on them.


I wonder how it would look like if we ignored pirated copies (i.e. pretty much most of Asia, Africa and the Middle East) and server versions.


What would be the point of that?


Not to speak for the original poster but as a dev I'd like to know what my addressable market is if I'm developing a desktop-focused app, and excluding biz machines and people who will never pay would help there


If you're developing an app you need to figure out addressable market separately for it anyway. None of the apps I've developed until now really have the same % as any of those graphs - your audience will vary with the use-case.

The only thing the original proposal would do is make Apple look better, but it wouldn't really be USEFUL for anything.


Well, a significant number of osx machines in those places are mackintoshes' :)

Not that it changes anything


> a significant number

[citation needed]


Walk into a random pc shop in India and ask for a cheap mac ;)


With 88.67% of desktop OS being different flavors of microsoft OS, it seems a bit overwhelming that its still that high , especially after a massive acceptance of ubuntu. Its shocking that Apple has failed to make inroads in any other country outside the USA. One wonders why it never crossed their minds. This gives Microsoft a great opportunity to win back this big iPhone using crowd by making their Apps platform independent which they are doing already. I see Microsoft coming back big time like the windows 98 , 2000 and VB 6.0 kind of good times awaits them now :)


In the european market most people simply dont see the value in a mac. Even in switzerland where a $3000 laptop is not such a big of a deal you see this money invested in alienware or high quality business machines over macbook a lot.

I think they simply failed to keep up with the quality they once had.


Two thoughts come to mind:

1) If Microsoft is already/still at ~90%, is there really room for a big time come back? Getting the rest of the market is small potatoes compared to what they already have.

2) How much of the market does desktop represent, anyway? Most people I know do not own a desktop. They may have a laptop, but they may also only have a tablet and/or phone.

Now, I believe you are actually suggesting that Microsoft can leverage their desktop market to get back into tablets and phones, but I don't know . . . so far, their efforts have been disappointing, and frankly, people are used to their Android devices, so Microsoft will actually be the weird phone even if it is the normal desktop.


Here in Germany most consumer store chains have replaced hybrid Android tablets and netbooks with Windows 10 versions.

Many of those devices do allow for a SIM card as well.


Eh? Are you saying they don't sell Android tablets anymore, but only Windows tablets?


Not sure what he said. But this is definitly not true. It is still a small minority of the devices that runs Windows


Then check online at Conrad, Saturn or Media Market, in Germany, what type of netbooks or hybrid tablets are being sold.


Not sure what you mean. The topsellers here for example, the top-5 are all Android, and the rest mostly Android:

http://www.saturn.de/de/category/_tablets-252064.html?search...


Well, this is the 2nd most sold device right after Apple's iPad.

    TREKSTOR SurfTab duo W1 Volks-Tablet WiFi, Convertible mit 10.1 Zoll, 32 GB Speicher, 2 GB RAM, Windows 10, Schwarz


Not sure what's going on, but when I opened the page, and set to topseller ranking, the first items were all android.


Check Media Market, Saturn, Conrad online stores for netbooks and hybrid tablets and see which ones are being sold.


Desktop is synonymous with laptop/desktop machine in fact it is actually difficult to separate the two.

I think this is the case here.


> I see Microsoft coming back big time

Coming back from what?

They've been steady at 90+% market share for a couple decades now. The modest increase in MacOS market share this past decade has never been more than a couple of percents worldwide. A drop in the bucket, really.


A lot of that is due to the fact that most businesses use Windows almost exclusively.

Even in the tech world, outside of startups and hipster tech companies, there are a lot of developers using Windows (i.e. the vast majority of .NET developers).

I'm not sure what you mean by Apple failing to make inroads outside of the USA as well. They've made inroads all over the western world.


Also according to the Android team on the Android Developers Backstage podcast, the majority of Android Studio installations are on Windows.


Makes sense. People on OSX are probably investing in Xcode, which leaves the majority user share on Windows and in second place, Linux.


Have you actually seen the numbers in the article?

MacOS has about 1% market share worldwide.


1% market share worldwide. I was just recently in Vietnam, unsurprisingly I didn't see a single Apple computer, and most of the computers were running Windows XP.

Apple has around 10% [0] of the market for laptop sales (most consumer computers are now laptops, I don't know any non-enthusiasts who have bought a PC in the last 5 years).

Now, factor in that those sales figures include less developed countries as well as developed countries, and you're probably look at at a decent margin about 10% of personal computer sales for home use as Apple products.

[0]: http://www.digitaltrends.com/computing/apple-2015-notebook-m...


Are Hacker News reader stats public? It'd be interesting to see how skewed the desktop OSs are...


I don't know. Many sectors require windows and I assume most HN readers are bored at work. You'll probably see a similar situation although my guess is Mac and Linux will be slightly higher on the totempoll. Probably more like 3-5% for Linux I'd say. Maybe even higher.

I'd love to see the data like you say, would be interesting.


The Stack Overflow developer survey had both Mac and Linux at 20% in 2015. But Mac shot up to 26% in 2016.

I think Hacker News will likely have very similar stats. Maybe somewhat more Mac and Linux leaning, even.

http://stackoverflow.com/research/developer-survey-2016#tech...


People consume HN through 3rd parties, such as Twitter, RSS, and Reddit. Whatever the stats are with the website, they won't give you an accurate view of the actual HN reader.


Wouldn't it be a representative sampling though? Unless users of certain OS'es are more inclined to use such third party clients than other users.


Last months saw an example of a distributed database/api service scraping, using hundreds of thousands of IPs of around the world, and random user agents (I think that all started with Mozilla/5.0, but the rest were from random historical user agents), to avoid rate limits.

The OSs referenced in those user agents went back to early windows versions, OS/2 Warp and Maemo (to put 2 examples that hurt knowing that were fake).

If this site take as base sites/URLs that are somewhat hit by that kind of traffic the stats could be very misleading.


Yeah. Where is "vitaly rules" in this graph? I have medium sizes sites where that is 2-7% of the traffic right now.


OS X Sierra (10.12) adoption chart

https://www.gosquared.com/global/mac/sierra/#beta

Looks like people are split 30/30/30 between the last three versions with many holdouts.

Things look way better in iOS land (76% on latest version):

https://developer.apple.com/support/app-store/


Can OSX plus Linux combined really be below 7%? If so, I live in a freaky bubble.


If you are browsing HN, you likely live and work in a bubble with massive over-representation of the very rich (who buy Macs disproportionately) and the IT tinkerers (who use Linux disproportionately).

(This is the case even for the US, but even more so worldwide, where a Macbook costs a month's gross salary rather than a week's worth.)


Windows must have at least half of its share from corporate clients. It's about the only desktop OS used in a corporate environment.


You have to love the big spike in Windows 98 usage in Feb '16 (https://www.netmarketshare.com/report.aspx?qprid=11&qpaf=&qp...)


That big jump from 0.01% to 0.01%


Notable: there are almost 3x more Windows NT devices online than Mac OS X 10.8


Is that really notable? They are both small numbers, and those NT machines are likely at companies with upgrade policies versus people who choose not to upgrade their personal macs for free.


I see this rather in favor for Mac OS X as their upgrade system definitely works, 10.8 is not old at all (2012), Windows NT is from the 90s mostly pre-internet. It's putting things into perspective.


It also shows what a solid OS Windows NT has been :)

Also there are many valid reasons to not upgrade from NT...


> Also there are many valid reasons to not upgrade from NT...

Not if you expose your machine to the internet!


I wonder about NT with nothing but up to date ssh exposed vs win 10 with nothing exposed except the pile of obscure phone home protocols you can't turn off.

I suspect NT wins unless there are unpatched TCP/IP exploits.

I wonder what percentage of in-use ATMs make a similar bet.


~0, because ATMs are not connected to the internet.


Not sure if you are serious. But a OS without security updates for years is almost always much worse.


Windows NT 4.0 - deploy and forget. Maintian only when some hardware breaks.

There are some nt machines chugging along doing specific tasks that will outlive us all.


Make sure to reboot every 2 billion seconds, otherwise weird stuff stops working... Maybe it's only UI, though.


Led a netware 5 migration from NT4 and NT 3.5 in 1999-2000. Some people then would have disagreed with you. :)


https://www.netmarketshare.com/report.aspx?qprid=11&qpaf=&qp...

They need more decimal points to explain it


Where is Chrome OS? Part of Linux?


Probably others, since the User-Agent doesn't mention Linux and contains "CrOS" instead.


ITT: "I'd like to see numbers that confirm my bias."


OS X less than 5% ? That's really surprising!


According to Wikipedia: "As of November 2013, Apple's online store was available in 39 countries, with physical Apple Stores numbering 444 in sixteen countries (263 US/181 elsewhere).

The world has roughly 196 countries. I don't know how many of those you can buy Macs in, but I'd expect there are gaps.

However, a lot poor countries have access to cheap PCs, or local cheap PC assemblers, or users can build their own machines.


There are countries where Apple cannot legally open a retail store. They go through tie ups and partnerships with local companies to setup stores and sell their products. For example, in India - every major city probably has at least 4-5 "Apple Stores" which are not fully owned by Apple and thus probably don't factor into these stats.


This. In thailand and cambodia apple seems widely available. None of those is a official store tho. I think i've seen more than those 400 stores in Thailand alone.


In Norway too, there is a large chain official partner, essentially an Apple Store operated by not-Apple, but the online store is official Apple, I think that is what OP was referring to. IN some countries there is no Apple Store online.



I would like to see the PornHub numbers for desktop and mobile combined. That would give a better sense of what's going on. My guess for the consumer market is that it looks like Windows is in solid shape, but the reality is that people are spending more time on mobile devices, even if they have a PC somewhere in the house.


My comment wasn't specific to pornography. I think its generally understood that home browsing is moving off desktops.


Do you mean more people are getting laptops or that people are moving off laptops/desktops to mobile devices?


Because pornhub stats are skewed towards services that ..ummm ... allow one handed use? Wouldn't that affect iPhone 7 vs 7+ numbers?


Well the year of the Linux desktop never came, it seems.


Yeah, but the year of the Linux handheld has been here for quite some time. When do we get LibreOffice and Blender for AOSP?


Good luck, this is the set of allowed native API on Android.

https://developer.android.com/ndk/guides/libs.html

As of Android 7, if the application tries to link to system libraries not part of that list, it will just get killed.

https://android-developers.googleblog.com/2016/06/improving-...


If you define "desktop" as 'not a portable computer', I suspect MacOS will drop a lot, percentage wise. Maybe Linux is already #2 in that market niche. Plenty of rack mounted linux machines run firefox/chrome...


And if you define desktop as "linux running computer" Linux totally dominates the category.

But "year of the Linux desktop" has a clear and well defined meaning since 1999 or so -- it's about people running Linux (and Linux userland, not Android) on their personal computers, whether desktops or laptops.


Also Android has very few Linux exposed to application developers, Google could change it for something else and only OEMs would be pissed off.

Only these APIs are allowed to be used.

https://developer.android.com/ndk/guides/libs.html


Honestly i am happy we have those 2.2% more or less consistently. Last time it dropped to 2.1 people started to suspect linux is dying...


Without some information on how this data is calculated it's pretty tough too take it seriously.

Not that I doubt Windows is the majority OS, it obviously is. But I didn't need a chart to know that. The chart may be inaccurate depending on the source of the data and how it was extrapolated.


See https://www.netmarketshare.com/faq.aspx#Methodology

"The data is compiled from approximately 160 million unique visits per month. The information published on www.netmarketshare.com is an aggregation of the data from this network of hosted website traffic statistics. In addition, we classify 430+ referral sources identified as search engines. Aggregate traffic referrals from these engines are summarized and reported monthly. The statistics for search engines include both organic and sponsored referrals."


Are there somewhere market share statistics available for desktop and mobile operating systems combined? The separation between desktop and mobile devices feels a bit outdated. How does Windows relate to Android or iOS, for example?


"desktop" is a totally useless and nonsensical classification, when they do not (which is obvious from their numbers) count laptops plugged into a screen & keyboard for the duration of a workday as a "desktop".


Nonsensical?

Laptops/desktop are a form factor / product category, not a usage pattern.

The same way as 20kg desktop PC on boats are not "laptops".

Sometimes you do need to know how its used (e.g. if you sell peripherals that only make sense for "road warriors" you will want to know how many use their machines at a specific location all day, regardless of form factor), but most of the time, laptop/desktop distinction based on form, like the one we always been using, makes far more sense.


Hate to be pedantic but Linux is not an operating system.


This is a duplicate from a couple days ago


I am very happy to be in that 6% share that macOS has.


I am happy to be in the majority camp.


Why the downvotes? I just stated my opinion. I thought that this site was a little less childish than this.


Speculation, but members may not consider the comment substantive. Note that your parent, which is similar, was also downvoted.




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